Step 01INTRODUCE THE FUTURES TRIANGLE
Explain the futures triangle, a tool that maps signals and drivers of change in three categories: push of the present, weight of the past, and pull from the future.
Step 02IDENTIFY SIGNALS AND DRIVERS
Identify signals and drivers of change at landscape, system, and organisation levels, as well as under sociocultural, technological, environmental, ethical, political, legal, and economic areas.
Step 03CATEGORISE SIGNALS AND DRIVERS
Categorise the identified signals and drivers under the three corners of the futures triangle: push of the present (current forces shaping the future), weight of the past (legacy influences), and pull from the future (emerging opportunities and challenges).
Step 04GENERATE ISSUES OF RELEVANCE
Using the identified signals and drivers of change, create a series of relevant issues by identifying tensions or contradictions between the three corners. Specifically aim to identify combinations of signals or drivers across the various areas to ensure novel issues emerge in the discussion.
Step 05DISCUSS POTENTIAL IMPLICATIONS
Take each of the identified issues of relevance and discuss the potential impact each one may have on the existing system. Consider the relationship between issues to explore indirect and non-obvious impacts.